Beyond the AI hype


2024-05-01
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8 min read


Should your startup have AI in the name….

The explosion of AI companies over the past year has been overwhelming. It seems to have become the norm to feature “AI” in your branding to capitalize on this AI gold rush. This makes it challenging to navigate the hype and distinguish the wheat from the chaff. In this article, I aim to look beyond the AI hype and understand the current trends among emerging companies.

The Hype of  AI powered Companies

Developing an AI model is very expensive and requires significant resources in both talent and computational power. Consequently, most of the models in use come from a select few providers whose core business revolves around AI, making them fully “AI Driven.” Companies like OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, Cohere, and Mistral supply their models to the broader market. Other companies access these models via APIs and adapt them to their specific business cases. This results in a significant portion of the generative AI market being merely “AI powered,” without any proprietary rights over the models themselves, only over their application. The value of these companies lies solely in investing in the application layer of the AI Value Chain. (see my previous article on this)

While application layer apps were still novel in 2023, by 2024 they have become the norm, reducing their role as differentiators. As AI becomes more normalized in everyday activities, integrations with core models will no longer be perceived as added value but rather as standard. Tools that rely solely on AI integrations for their core value will eventually be seen as just more noise amidst the already overwhelming array of tools people use today. Therefore, it’s crucial to understand how to successfully navigate the application layer when building an AI-powered business.

Navigating beyond the Hype:

Ideas

When ideating a new venture within the AI space, it is essential to consider AI resilience factors that will make a company resistant to the constant evolution of the tech landscape.

Many companies offer easy ways to build customized knowledge centers, chatbots, AI agents, or process enhancements with AI. However, these use cases are not very resilient to the evolution of AI technology itself. Building a company reliant on AI integrations is not a sustainable strategy, as users are increasingly integrating AI directly into their own environments. As models become more powerful, users will easily replicate these dynamics in their setups, reducing dependency on third-party providers beyond the model creators.

So, the question is - “what builds resilience?”

Here are 4 focus areas, based on what we are seeing as the winning formula to navigate through the AI hype.

1 Network effects - make it hard to leave

The most defining success and resilience factor for a company is its capacity to provide a powerful network effect. A network effect occurs when a product becomes more valuable as the number of its users, tools, or data centers (nodes) increases. Actively considering strong network effects is crucial for success when starting a future-proof company. Examples of companies with strong network effects include Google, Facebook, Amazon, and Reddit—products whose value grows with the number of users or nodes in their network.

Network effects

Companies with strong network effects can easily evolve their business models, capitalizing on their network inertia (user base) to drive innovation efforts. This is crucial in an age where the tech world is constantly changing, especially with the hybrid and multimodal nature of Generative AI.

Generative AI can play a decisive role in intermediating these node connections by processing information into more convenient formats. There is a significant trend of companies implementing AI integrations for text manipulation, not only to accelerate content production but also to simplify its consumption by making it more convenient, easier to read, and faster to deliver. Here, Generative AI acts as a catalyst for the network itself, enhancing the overall value proposition of the network.

2 Privileged Data Access - share what no one else can share

Data is the new gold. If you didn’t believe that 10 years ago, when Big Data was the buzz word - with generative AI I think that statement becomes quite trivial. As such, a having a priviliged access to a specific data set is a big anchor for your business. Focusing on a specific data point that only you can harvest, that can be converted into a lot of value - specially with the help of Generative AI.

It’s important to be careful though, as when relying to much on third party generative models one might be serving those companies that same data point. Specially the big ones (OpenAI and Google)

Book Scan

Examples of privileged data access could be local user base via data acquisition mechanism that go beyond the traditional web surfing - things like private databases, acquisition of location specific data (ex. in person events), acquisition of off-grid data such as old books, and other non digital data.

Companies like DT Heritage are a good example of this privilidged that access that can then be boosted by a comprehensive AI powered mechanism in order to enhance their services. All this maintaining a privilidged reference data base (in. this case old archives) that the big general models don’t have access to.

3 Subject Matter Expertise - sell expertise

Specific problems, require specific solutions. Although the future envisions a world where users can create virtually everything on demand with the help of AI - only things that are within the limited context window of these generalists models can be processes. Hence, companies can develop mechanism adapted to the solution of specific complex problems within a specific subject matter. A combination of prompt engineering and fine tuning of generalists models, can provide a powerful tool within a certain field of studies. Providing the necessary guidance of a user within a context of a more complex realm.

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Problems like engineering, hard sciences, corporate management and other complex tasks, can be powered by AI when build within a very well defined user journey. The possibilities are infinite, and the first players to fully capture solutions for specific fields of expertise can surely retain a huge portion of the market with a AI powered solution.

Examples of this are the current explosion of biotech companies powered by AI, such as NotCo that actively uses AI to facilitate the development of replacement food products.

4 Make life easier - a key to recurrence

One key aspect of the modern day, is the overwhelming existence of noise and entropy within the digital world. In the attempt to solve many problems, users these days have to deal with a very fragmented environment of apps, accounts and so on.

Powerful system designed, powered by AI, can create an interesting recurrence in apps if that can solve this challenge. AI agents make that case, where an AI is designed to enable different services in one’s device in order to execute tasks that previously would require a lot of enablement steps by the user. This simplification of the user journey will proof to be crucial in the future - as the tech world will grow into multi model formats beyond the screen and the keyboard.

Media formats like audio recognition, image recognition, spatial recognition and others are coming to blend with traditional UX practices, opening a lot of space for innovation. In the very near future, users will be even more demanding regarding apps capability to offer the past of least resistance to users.

UX Evolution

With the massification of AI usage, users will start be more demanding on the UX capabilities of services, and as such this will be a crucial differentiator.

Conclusion

Navigating the AI landscape requires more than just riding the wave of the latest trends. It necessitates a thoughtful approach to ensure long-term resilience and value creation. By focusing on network effects, privileged data access, subject matter expertise, and simplifying user experiences, startups can build sustainable and competitive advantages in the ever-evolving tech ecosystem.

Embracing these strategies will not only help in standing out amidst the AI hype but also in crafting a robust business model that can withstand the constant advancements in AI technology. Ultimately, it's about leveraging AI thoughtfully and strategically to create real, lasting value, rather than merely capitalizing on a buzzword.

Companies with strong network effects can easily evolve their business models, capitalizing on their network inertia (user base) to drive innovation efforts. This is crucial in an age where the tech world is constantly changing, especially with the hybrid and multimodal nature of Generative AI.

Generative AI can play a decisive role in intermediating these node connections by processing information into more convenient formats. There is a significant trend of companies implementing AI integrations for text manipulation, not only to accelerate content production but also to simplify its consumption by making it more convenient, easier to read, and faster to deliver. Here, Generative AI acts as a catalyst for the network itself, enhancing the overall value proposition of the network.

© Vasco Magellan 2024